Friday, February 28, 2014

Emerging Markets Turmoil: Quit Overreacting

For years, the market mantra was that emerging markets represented future growth.Lately, however, investors have pulled record levels of capital out of economies from Brazil to India. This is an overreaction; too many investors and analysts are focusing on short-term fluctuations rather than keeping their eye on emerging markets' longer-term prospects.  Though the sell-off has eased, emerging market funds experienced massive outflows soaring to more than $33 billion in the 15 weeks before February, according to Morgan Stanley.

http://tinyurl.com/m4xt46b

Thursday, February 27, 2014

Phone Makers Look to Emerging Markets for Growth

Here's the rub for companies: A good part of the key markets they serve already own smartphones and use them to connect various Internet services. How do you grow from there?  Services from Facebook to Firefox are looking to emerging markets for the next few billion people. They are not only targeting the obvious high-population countries such as India and China, but also see potential in Latin America, Africa and just about everywhere beyond the U.S., Canada, western Europe and a few Asian nations.  One message has been clear this week at the Mobile World Congress wireless show
http://tinyurl.com/kjuze34

Wednesday, February 26, 2014

Ukraine Won’t Derail Emerging Market Gains

president on the lam and an angry Russian bear looking to assert his authority on a wayward former territory. Although the situation gets murkier in Ukraine, the prospects of contagion coming from the former Soviet state seem minimal, judging by global market reaction. The question for investors is why the Ukraine situation differs from Greece’s insolvency, or on a smaller scale, Cyprus’s banking failure, when European markets roiled from the daily drip of bad news coming from these two small countries.

http://tinyurl.com/lzu3c3l

Tuesday, February 25, 2014

Nokia Targets Emerging Markets With Android Phones

Nokia is targeting emerging markets with three low-cost smartphones that use Google's Android operating system rather than the Windows Phone software from Microsoft, which is about to take over Nokia's handset business.  Nokia will ditch many of the Google services that come with Android and use instead the Microsoft services such as Bing search, Skype communications and OneDrive file storage. Its home screen sports larger, resizable tiles resembling those on Windows phone.  "More and more people are buying smartphones for less that 100 euros," Stephen Elop, Nokia executive vice president, said Monday as he presented the new phones at the Mobile World Congress in Barcelona, Spain. "That sub-100 range is a massive opportunity for us. According to analysts, it will grow four times as fast as rest of smartphone market."

http://tinyurl.com/mq6ysbe

Monday, February 24, 2014

Playing Emerging Markets Through Western Blue Chips



Investors today face a quandary with emerging markets. Sentiment towards them is bearish, and has been for some years now, with far greater faith in developed economies than developing. But at the same time, there is no denying that emerging markets, with their high populations and strong demographics, will be the engines of global growth in years ahead.  While investors grapple with the question of when it will make sense to re-allocate assets to emerging market shares in expectation of a rebound, there is another way of gaining exposure to developing world growth rates without having to deal with local, falling stock markets. 

http://tinyurl.com/knob7ad

Friday, February 21, 2014

Emerging Markets Must Do Homework

Emerging markets should get their own houses in order before demanding solidarity from other nations, German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble said.  The troubles in emerging markets would be the main topic discussed by finance ministers and central bank chiefs at the G20 summit in Sydney this weekend, Schaeuble told CNBC in an interview broadcast on Friday.  Stock, bond and currency markets in developing countries have convulsed in recent months, hit by concerns over weaker economic growth and the winding down of stimulus in the United States.

http://tinyurl.com/mmcuefp

Thursday, February 20, 2014

Emerging Market Storm Boon for Euro Zone



A reversal in fortunes between southern Europe and once-booming developing economies has triggered a substantial allocation shift by global funds out of emerging assets and into the euro markets they fled two years ago.  Escalating violence in Ukraine and the suspension of Nigeria's central bank governor hit emerging market assets on Thursday, even as Spain, once seen as the focus of the euro zone debt crisis, saw its long-term borrowing costs tumble to their lowest since 2008.

 http://tinyurl.com/myrsu2u

Wednesday, February 19, 2014

Forget Emerging Markets, Frontier Markets Still Rising




Capital is heading home. Trade deficits are soaring. Reform has stalled. And the easy years of catch-up growth have come to an end.  There are no shortage of reasons why the markets have turned bearish on the emerging markets, and there are plenty of explanations for why they have been so badly hit at the start of 2014.  There is one thing that does not quite add up, however. While the emerging markets have been tumbling, the frontier markets have been doing as well as they ever did. They easily out-performed most other assets last year, and have carried on rising even as a wider crisis has rippled through the developing world. 

Tuesday, February 18, 2014

Emerging Market Currency Devaluation

The interesting news these days is all about currency devaluation in the emerging markets. Due to the tapering of the Federal Reserve, we now have an unintended consequence. All of the cheap money supplied by the Federal Reserve that went to the emerging markets is now coming home. Some of the emerging market countries are already feeling this pressure of currency outflows. As a result, they are raising interest rates at a very fast pace which collapses their economies.

http://tinyurl.com/lkod87f

Monday, February 17, 2014

Bundesbank Unfazed by Emerging Markets,



The turbulence experienced in emerging markets early this year is insufficient to derail a recovery in the global economy, which could strengthen during 2014, Germany's Bundesbank said on Monday.  Currencies in Turkey, South Africa, Hungary and Russia suffered major sell-offs over the past month before recovering slightly after central banks fought back via interest rate hikes or exchange rate interventions.

http://tinyurl.com/kks7mzp